We propose a new resolution to the Fermi paradox: civilizations either collapse from burnout or redirect themselves to prioritizing homeostasis, a state where cosmic expansion is no longer a goal, making them difficult to detect remotely.

Their proposal seems to be that the Great Filter is that Capitalism is a death cult: either you reach for the stars and explode, or you get a little cottage in the country and don't bother disassembling Jupiter.

Also that the Kardashev scale is imperialist nonsense.

But most importantly, look at that illustration! Just look at it!

Previously, previously, previously, previously, previously, previously, previously, previously, previously, previously.

It's not just the illustration that is beautiful (though it is beautiful). Check out the minimalist metadata ethos:

"This article has no additional data." "We declare we have no competing interests." "We received no funding for this study." "© 2022 The Authors."

Note that homeostasis does not imply lying still, it actually means, according to the graph, "reorientation and infinite expansion in other dimensions".

This conclusion actually follows straightly from Eq. (1.1) in the article:

right, obviously: anyone functionally numerate can work out that continued exponential growth fucks you. Anyone who knows any physics knows that it's not even *possible* short of inventing a time machine (you hit light speed limits). If I was looking for civilisations on exoplanets I'd try to work out how hard it is to spot the long-term aftermaths of the nuclear wars which probably kill almost all of them.But then they have their fancy equation, and they claim

So clearly no-one mathematically competent reviewed this paper, and worse, no-one mathematically competent reviewed at least one of the papers they're citing. And the serious problem they're talking about is now infected with singularitarian nonsense as a result.

I think you messed up on the algebra in that pissing around. Simplifying further to b=0 (because I don’t have time to get the algebra right myself otherwise) you get something proportional to (t+c)^(1/(1-beta)), with an integration constant c that is typically negative. So with that negative exponent for beta>0, you do indeed get a singularity at t=-c.

I’m not making any claims about the value of the paper in general though, mind you.

Yes, I did. Or, rather, I didn't, but I didn't think hard enough about what my solution means: it's right, but I'd not thought about what q was: it can be negative for the right initial conditions, so if β > 1 and q is negative you do get divergences.

I found a copy of the paper they cite in fact, and I'm pretty sure what I get agrees with what they get.

Summary: random person on internet is wrong, peer-reviewed paper in prestigious journal is right: who would have expected that?

It appears that the TL;DR is approximately:

In order to avoid utter collapse soon, make "Blood Music" a reality?

Could be a great reality TV Show: "

Keeping up with the Kardashevs"The best description I ever heard of

Jupiter Ascendingis that it documents a Kardashian Type III Civilization.I don't see why the second must be true: why does discovering steam power imply sociopaths.

(Obviously, sociopaths are the problem, no disagreement there.)

The sketch of the proof is too lengthy to fit in the margin of this blog post.

i thought this was a diagram of someone's reproductive system in action.

Disassembling Jupiter smacks of effort, man.

So, in other words… capitalism will inevitably collapse under the weight of its own contradictions?And so society is faced with the choice of transition to socialism or regression into barbarism?

you, sir, are massively swagged out and hella dope!